The Manila Times

Pacific arms race intensifies

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA: A quick barrage of missile tests and bumper defense deals in the Pacific have highlighted a regional arms race that is intensifying as the China-US rivalry grows.

“There’s a little frenzy in the IndoPacific of arming up,” said Yonsei University Prof. John Delury. “There’s a sense of everyone’s doing it.”

Within 24 hours this week, North Korea fired off two railwayborne weapons, South Korea successfully tested its first submarine-launched ballistic missile and Australia announced the unprecedented purchase of stateof-the-art US nuclear-powered submarines and cruise missiles.

A remarkable flurry but indicative of a region spending apace on the latest wonders of modern weaponry, experts say.

Last year alone, the Asia and Oceania region lavished more than half a trillion US dollars on its militaries, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

“You’ve really seen an upward trend for the last 20 years,” the institute’s Lucie Beraud-Sudreau told Agence France-Presse. “Asia is really the region where the uptick trend is the most noticeable.”

She points to a perfect storm of rapid economic growth — which puts more money in the government kitties — and changing “threat perceptions” in the region.

China accounts for about half of Asia’s total and has increased defense spending every year for the last 26 years, turning the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) into a modern fighting force.

Beijing now spends an estiington’s mated $252 billion a year — up 76 percent since 2011 — allowing it to project power across the region and directly challenge US primacy.

But defense spending in Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and elsewhere is also gathering pace.

Michael Shoebridge, a former Australian defense intelligence official, now with the Australia Strategic Policy Institute, believes that spending is a direct reaction to China.

“The actual military competition is between China and other partners that are wanting to deter China from using force,” he said.

“That reaction has just grown, particularly since Xi (Jinping) has become leader. He’s clearly interested in using all the power that China gains fairly coercively and aggressively.”

Today, around 20 percent of the region’s defense spending is on procurement, notably on maritime assets and long-range deterrence designed to convince Beijing — or any other adversary — that the cost of attack is too high.

Shoebridge points to Australia’s landmark decision on Thursday to acquire at least eight US nuclearpowered submarines and an unspecified number of Tomahawk cruise missiles.

“They’re all focused on raising the cost to China of engaging in military conflict. They’re a pretty effective counter to the kinds of capabilities the PLA has been building.”

But even South Korean spending “is as much driven by China as North Korea,” he said. “There’s no explanation for (Seoul’s decision to build) an aircraft carrier that involves North Korea.”

Asia And Oceania

en-ph

2021-09-18T07:00:00.0000000Z

2021-09-18T07:00:00.0000000Z

https://digitaledition.manilatimes.net/article/281943136016627

The Manila Times